🧠 COMBINING ALL PARAMETERS INTO A CONSOLIDATED SCORE (TPS)

• ORES provides opening context, but its predictive importance decreases as the NVDA trading window progresses

• RVF = helps determine if moves sustain

• NVDA trends = VDI + RVF + MA persistence, not just opening expansion

The following weighting provides a consolidated framework for evaluating NVDA conditions.

🔧 WEIGHTAGE FOR EACH PROBABILITY PARAMETER

VDI = 30%

RVF = 20%

MA = 20%

ORES = 30%

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Never Miss a TPS Signal

NVDA Direction can automatically send a text message whenever your selected TPS thresholds are reached.

Learn how to enable SMS Alerts

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🎯 THE COMBINED ‘TRADE PROBABILITY SCORE’ FOR NVDA

NVDA Direction displays a normalized score (0 → 1) called the “Trade Probability Score” using input from all 4 probability parameters in real time.

🧠 FORMULA

Trade Score = (0.30 × VDI_score) + (0.20 × RVF_score) + (0.20 × MA_score) + (0.30 × ORES_score)

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📊 STEP 1 - EACH PROBABILITY PARAMETER IS “NORMALIZED” FOR NVDA

🔵 VDI Score (0 → 1)

VDI between -0.50 and +0.50 → 0.0

Mild directional displacement (> +0.50 to < +1.00, or < -0.50 to > -1.00) → 0.5

VDI ≥ +1.00 or ≤ -1.00 → 1.0

AND:

• Directional reading should be sustained

• Otherwise multiply score × 0.5

🟢 RVF Score (0 → 1)

< 0.80 → 0.0

0.80 – 1.09 → 0.4

1.10 – 1.39 → 0.7

≥ 1.40 → 1.0

Bonus:

• If RVF is rising → strengthen the participation assessment

🟡 MA Score (0 → 1)

MA < 0 → 0.0 for bullish acceleration assessment

MA > 0 → 1.0 for bullish acceleration assessment

For bearish conditions, the directional interpretation is reversed:

MA < 0 → bearish acceleration

MA > 0 → loss of bearish acceleration

AND:

• MA should remain directionally consistent

• Otherwise reduce the effective score

🔴 ORES Score (0 → 1)

< 0.70 → 0.0

0.70 – 1.29 → 0.6

≥ 1.30 → 1.0

Adjustment:

• ORES provides primarily opening context

• As the trading window progresses, RVF + VDI + MA become increasingly important

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🧠 STEP 2 - CALCULATION OF TRADE PROBABILITY SCORE

Score = weighted sum (0 → 1)

The resulting TPS is then interpreted using the current NVDA Direction probability thresholds.

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📊 STEP 3 - HOW TO INTERPRET TPS FOR NVDA

TRADE PROBABILITY SCORE	Interpretation	Implication
≤ 0.40	Insufficient probability	❌ No trade
> 0.40	Low probability	🔴 Weak setup / caution
> 0.50	Qualifying probability	🟡 Tradeable with confirmation
> 0.65	High probability	🟢 Highest-quality conditions

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🔥 HOW TO USE TPS TO MAKE TRADING DECISIONS

✅ ENTER TRADE IF:

TPS > 0.50

AND

|VDI| > 0.50 sustained

AND

RVF ≥ 1.10

AND

MA confirms directional acceleration

AND

Price maintains directional displacement from VWAP

🚀 PREFER THE STRONGEST SETUPS IF:

TPS > 0.65

AND

RVF ≥ 1.40

AND

|VDI| ≥ 1.00

AND

ORES ≥ 1.30

AND

MA confirms direction

❌ NO TRADE IF:

TPS ≤ 0.40

OR

|VDI| ≤ 0.50

OR

RVF < 0.80

OR

ORES < 0.70

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🛡️ NVDA TRADE FILTERS - USING TPS

Even if the score is high, reject the trade if:

VDI returns toward the -0.50 to +0.50 balance range

OR

MA loses directional confirmation or changes sign

OR

RVF falls below 0.80

OR

Price touches VWAP and fails to re-establish directional displacement

OR

TPS falls materially from an elevated reading

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⏱️ PARAMETER DOMINANCE ACROSS TIME

10:00–10:30 AM EST → ORES provides important opening context

10:30–11:30 AM EST → RVF + VDI + MA become increasingly important

Trading window ends at 11:30 AM EST.

The TPS should therefore be interpreted alongside the evolving market environment rather than relying on ORES alone.

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📊 RESULTS FROM BACKTESTING

TPS should be interpreted as a probability framework, not as a guaranteed win-rate predictor.

Higher TPS readings indicate stronger alignment among the four probability parameters, while lower readings indicate weaker or conflicting conditions.

The objective is to identify situations where:

• directional displacement is established

• participation confirms the move

• momentum is accelerating

• opening intent provides supportive context

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IMPORTANT CONSIDERATION:

VDI persistence + RVF ≥ 1.10

ORES alone does NOT produce edge.

MA alone does NOT produce edge.

TPS is strongest when it reflects the alignment of all four probability parameters.

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🧠 ORES, VDI, MA & RVF GIVE YOU A MORE COMPLETE PICTURE

• ORES → “Did the day start with intent?”

• VDI → “Are we away from value?”

• MA → “Is pressure accelerating?”

• RVF → “Is participation real?”

TPS → “Are the four parameters aligned strongly enough to justify an execution?”

Only trade NVDA when price is away from VWAP, momentum is building, participation confirms it, and TPS supports the overall setup.

⏱️ NVDA DIRECTION TRADING WINDOW

10:00 AM – 11:30 AM EST

Maximum: 1–2 trades per day.